With the 2020 NFL regular season in the books, it’s time to take a look back at our football betting for the season. We had some notable success along with some spectacular failures, although those were mostly on the player prop bet side of the board. Let’s jump right into it.
2020 NFL betting misses
We will begin with our misses because no one really cares when you win. These wagers seemed logical at the start of the season, but don’t seem so hot now. None of our player prop bets hit which isn’t much of an issue considering the high risk/high reward nature of these. But we will start with the team failures.
Arizona Cardinals – Make the Playoffs (+260)
This one looked good until week 17 when the Arizona Cardinals were unable to beat a Los Angeles Rams team missing Jared Goff and several other key players.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Under 9.5 wins
Denver Broncos Over 7.5 wins and Win the AFC West (+1100)
We were wrong about both of these squads. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked terrible at times but turned it on late in the season. The Denver Broncos were injured and bad. In our defense, the AFC West was more of a speculative punt in search of a big payout.
Josh Jacobs to lead the NFL in rushing yards (+1900)
Cam Akers to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (+2000)
Bradley Chubb to win AP Comeback Player of the Year (+3300)
Our favorite player prop bets didn’t pan out. Josh Jacobs was so disappointed in himself for not hitting this bet that he decided to go out and get himself a DUI. Cam Akers looked great during the times he wasn’t injured this season. Bradley Chubb’s chances of winning AP Comeback Player of the Year went down the drain the minute Von Miller got hurt.
2020 NFL betting hits
We killed it on over/unders in 2020, nailing six out of seven of our picks. We also did well on NFL Draft betting.
Green Bay Packers – Over 8.5 wins
Washington Football Team – Over 4.5 wins
Chicago Bears – Under 8.5 wins
New York Jets – Under 6.5 wins
New York Giants – Under 6.5 wins
San Francisco 49ers – Under 10.5 wins
We said that the Green Bay Packers at 8.5 wins was an easy over and that proved to be the case. Looking back, all these were fairly easy decisions. The Chicago Bears were bad despite winning eight games and the New York Giants needed a four-game win streak late in the season to get to six wins. Here’s what we were thinking about some of these bets at time:
Under 4.5 quarterbacks drafted in the first round (-450)
Chase Young to be the second overall pick (-300)
Neither of these NFL Draft wagers paid out well, but both hit. It didn’t really make much sense to go bold ith so much uncertainty surrounding the build-up to the draft last year.
